Wellington Scoop

Predator-free campaign good for human health, says Wellington researcher

News from University of Otago – Wellington
The Predator Free 2050 campaign to rid New Zealand of rats and possums will have major benefits for human health as well as for native plants and animals, says public health researcher Dr Mary McIntyre from the University of Otago, Wellington.

In New Zealand rats carry infections such as salmonella, toxoplasma, giardia, campylobacter and several others that can be spread to humans, through contact with the animals or their waste or through contaminated food and water.

“Possums carry bovine TB, which is also an ongoing and expensive livestock problem. It is less well known that possums also provide a potential reservoir for mosquito-borne diseases such as the Ross River Virus. This was one of the reasons why the southern saltmarsh mosquito, which came here through the Port of Napier in the late 1990s, was eradicated after 10 years of effort and at a taxpayer cost of about $71 million.

“Nearly three out of five (58 percent) known infectious diseases in humans across the world are estimated to be caused by ‘zoonotic’ (shared with other animals) pathogens,” says Dr McIntyre.

“About three-quarters of the new diseases emerging to date are zoonotic, and their emergence is closely linked with environmental change and agricultural intensification.

New Zealand is part of this global picture, but there are also some particular issues.

“New Zealand has been a ‘land of milk and honey’ for the rats, which were introduced largely unwittingly, and possums introduced in the 19th Century to establish a fur industry. We have a moderate climate, abundant food, and possums have few natural enemies. What’s more, and in contrast to their native Australia, the possums average a kilogram heavier and give birth twice a year in New Zealand.

“The spread of diseases is largely a cost to society of our globalising travel habits. This greatly increases the chances of spreading new pests such as mosquitoes and ticks. Travel also increases the spread of pathogens carried by people – who may or may not know they are infected,” says Dr McIntyre.

The establishment of mosquito-borne disease by infected people is a particular concern for New Zealand since there are already mosquitoes here which carry infections such as dengue fever and West Nile and encephalitis viruses overseas, as well as native ones of unknown capacity.

One of these is a minor vector of Dengue virus in Australia, and we think this could work together with related Australian or Pacific mosquitoes to spread zika or chikungunya virus – should these mosquitoes come here.

“In the right conditions people travelling from overseas could infect the local mosquitoes – instead of the other way around. Global warming increases chances of this as higher temperatures increase reproduction of the disease carriers such as rats and insects, as well as increasing the rates at which a pathogen multiplies inside an insect such as a mosquito or tick.”

Warmer climates also assist the spread of carriers such as rodents and mosquitoes, with the pathogens they carry, into areas that were previously too cool for their numbers to build up to levels where infection would be transmitted. These concerns are additional to the risk of new mosquito breaching biosecurity measures.

Another concern for New Zealand comes with the mass fruiting and seeding (masting) of some native forest and grassland vegetation that occurs in some years. This leads to dramatic increases of rodent populations, followed by a build-up in populations of their predators such as stoats and feral cats. These animals are potential vectors for human disease, especially in rural areas and around urban fringe areas.

Eradicating possums, rats and stoats could also have the additional benefit of removing the need to use 1080 poison for pest control, says Dr McIntyre. This would be a benefit not only for conservation, but also for some public perceptions of this practice as a threat to human health.

“We believe it is in everyone’s interests to support the eradication of these introduced creatures, not just for the sake of New Zealand’s native plants and animals, but also for the health concerns of our human population,” she says.


  1. syrahnose, 16. January 2018, 2:15

    Tenuous and full of hypotheticals, this doesn’t seem like stellar scientific work. It sounds like research done to shape and justify anti domestic cat policies driven by a faction within the city council. Feral cats are indirectly blamed here for spreading all kinds of potential diseases because they might increase because of an increase in rat populations, which is disingenuous. And of course, the glaring question left out here is the major role domestic cats have in keeping down rat populations. Eliminate domestic cats from that mix and you end up with feral cats doing all the rat control. Eliminate feral cats and what happens to the rat population after that? Will it be done as cheaply and efficiently and without poisons by humans as it is now? It is a shame seemingly biased, poor quality scientific research like this is not peer reviewed before it is allowed into the public eye.

  2. Andy Mellon, 16. January 2018, 22:00

    Some of us use DOC200 traps to keep rat populations down, I don’t need the “help” of your moggies to do that.

    And I’ve seen with my own eyes what a feral cat can do to large native birds such as Kea. Not much can take down an adult Kea, but feral cats can and do. Breeding-age adults are killed on the nest by feral cats. Without feral cats, those breeding birds survive to bring up a brood. Granted, the chicks are very susceptible to stoats, rats, possums et. al. but there’s still more chance of breeding success if the adult is alive to breed.

    If you want tenuous, biased and unsubstantiated research, then the pro-feral-cat argument is right up there.